📣 Markets Watch: End-Q4 Positioning & Data Spillovers (Nov 24–30, 2025)

What to Watch This Week: Key Events: This week brings a condensed calendar amid the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, heightening the significance of any released data and the potential for amplified moves in thinner liquidity. With the eyes of the market shifting into year-end positioning and potential spill-overs from delayed U.S. releases, cross-asset dynamics — especially FX and yields — may show sharper than usual swings.

 Key Global Economic Events to Watch (Nov 24–30, 2025)

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📌 Additional Factors to Monitor

• The U.S. data calendar remains distorted following recent disruptions. Delayed releases (e.g., retail, PPI) carry extra weight when they surface.
• Liquidity is likely to be thinner around the Thanksgiving holiday and early market closures — this can exaggerate moves and widen spreads.

🧭 Under-Radar / High-Importance Signals Ahead

• As we move toward the final week of November and year-end rebalancing, flows into safe-haven currencies (USD, JPY) or yield plays may accelerate, especially if data surprises show up this week.
• Next Monday (Dec 1) marks the start of the month-end roll-over window and large ETF rebalancing — so this week’s positioning may start reflecting that shift.

🔎 Key Themes for the Week

• Year-End Positioning: With Q4 nearly complete, market participants may begin locking in trades, hedging exposures, or shifting toward more defensive assets.
• Data-Shock Sensitivity: In a week with fewer major prints and thin liquidity, any surprise (positive or negative) in weaker-monitored economies may trigger outsized reactions.
• Cross-Asset Spill-Overs: Watch how FX, yield curves, and equity risk indices interact as flows from one asset class bleed into others in this low-volume environment

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