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📣 Markets Watch: Inflation Data Takes Center Stage as Markets Refine February Direction (Feb 09–15, 2026)

What to Watch This Week: Key Events: With the post-Fed repricing phase still unfolding, this week shifts attention squarely toward inflation and demand signals. After labour data set the tone in early February, price trends and consumer behaviour now take priority in shaping expectations for the remainder of Q1. Liquidity is largely normalised, meaning reactions to data are likely to be more directional and sustained.

 Key Global Economic Events to Watch (Feb 09–15)

Monday, Feb 09
🇪🇺 Euro-area Industrial Production
🇨🇳 China Inflation (CPI / PPI)
Tuesday, Feb 10
🇺🇸 U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Wednesday, Feb 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Federal Budget Statement
🇪🇺 Euro-area CPI (final)
Thursday, Feb 12
🇺🇸 U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI)
🇬🇧 UK GDP
Friday, Feb 13
🇺🇸 U.S. Retail Sales
🇯🇵 Japan Industrial Production

📌 Additional Factors to Monitor

• U.S. inflation data is the central risk event this week, with CPI and PPI outcomes likely to drive near-term yield and USD positioning.
• UK GDP and U.S. retail sales will help clarify whether growth momentum is holding up following recent labour-market resilience.

🧭 Under-Radar / High-Importance Signals Ahead

• Next Monday (Feb 16): Japan GDP (preliminary) may influence early-week risk sentiment, particularly in Asia-Pacific markets.
• U.S. markets closed (Presidents’ Day): Reduced U.S. liquidity early next week could extend or exaggerate moves driven by this week’s inflation data.

🔎 Key Themes for the Week

• Inflation Confirmation: CPI and PPI readings will test whether disinflation is continuing or stalling.
• Growth vs. Prices: Retail sales and GDP data add context to whether inflation trends are demand-driven.
• Cross-Asset Sensitivity: FX, yields, and equity indices may show tighter correlations as markets refine February expectations.

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