What to Watch This Week: Key Events: Markets enter the final full week before key late-April central-bank decisions with a mix of macro data, earnings momentum, and ongoing geopolitical risk. While tensions linked to the ongoing war continue to influence energy prices and safe-haven flows, attention is also shifting toward PMI data and corporate earnings for direction. With the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting approaching next week, markets may begin positioning more actively, increasing sensitivity to incoming data and headlines.
| Monday, Apr 20 🇨🇳 China Loan Prime Rate 🇺🇸 U.S. Leading Economic Indicators |
| Tuesday, Apr 21 🇨🇦 Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI) 🇪🇺 Euro-area Consumer Confidence |
| Wednesday, Apr 22 🇺🇸 U.S. Existing Home Sales 🇪🇺 Euro-area Consumer Confidence (Flash) |
| Thursday, Apr 23 🇪🇺 Euro-area Manufacturing & Services PMI (Preliminary) 🇬🇧 UK Manufacturing & Services PMI (Preliminary) 🇺🇸 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims |
| Friday, Apr 24 🇯🇵 Japan CPI 🇺🇸 U.S. Durable Goods Orders |
• The ongoing war remains a key driver for oil markets, with any disruption to supply routes continuing to influence inflation expectations and commodity-linked currencies.
• PMI data across Europe and the UK will provide a timely snapshot of business activity and whether geopolitical uncertainty is impacting growth momentum.
• Corporate earnings releases, particularly in the U.S., may contribute to equity market volatility and broader risk sentiment.
• Next Week (Apr 27–29): The U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting is the primary upcoming risk event, meaning markets may adjust positioning throughout this week based on incoming data.
• Any significant move in oil prices driven by geopolitical developments could influence how inflation expectations are priced ahead of the Fed decision.
• Early expectations for U.S. GDP and PCE data (due late next week) may also begin shaping sentiment.
• Policy Positioning: Markets may begin aligning ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve decision.
• Activity Signals: PMI data will help determine whether growth remains resilient amid uncertainty.
• Geopolitical Influence: Energy markets and safe-haven flows remain sensitive to ongoing developments.
• Earnings Impact: Corporate results may drive short-term equity and cross-asset sentiment.
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