π£ Markets Watch: Inflation Data Takes Center Stage as Markets Refine February Direction (Feb 09β15, 2026)
What to Watch This Week: Key Events: With the post-Fed repricing phase still unfolding, this week shifts attention squarely toward...
What to Watch This Week: Key Events: This week brings a packed macro calendar marked by major central-bank decisions and key economic releases across Asia, Europe, and North America. Markets are positioning ahead of anticipated policy moves β especially the U.S. Federal Reserveβs December meeting β while PMI and sentiment data will help define risk appetite amid lingering uncertainty around growth and inflation
| Monday, Dec 08 π―π΅ Japan GDP π¨π³ China Trade & Exports/Imports |
| Tuesday, Dec 09 π¦πΊ Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision π²π½ Mexico Inflation (YoY & Core) |
| Wednesday, Dec 10 π¨π³ China Inflation (CPI & PPI) π§π· Brazil Interest Rate Decision π¨π¦ Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision |
| Thursday, Dec 11 πΊπΈ US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision |
| Friday, Dec 12 π¬π§ UK GDP π¨π³ China Loan Data |
β’ The U.S. Federal Reserve meeting (Dec 9β10) is widely expected to deliver a rate cut, though internal disagreement and limited current data make the outcome and accompanying guidance especially important for market positioning.
β’ Global bond markets have shown early December weakness amid shifting rate-cut expectations and positioning ahead of policy announcements β treasury yields and safe-haven flows may be reactive this week.
β’ If the Fedβs post-meeting statement or press conference signals more than just a single quarter-point cut β or changes the expected pace of future cuts β FX, equities, and yields may experience renewed volatility.
β’ Chinaβs data on inflation and credit at the start of the week will help shape risk sentiment globally, given ongoing concerns about growth and commodity demand.
β’ Policy at the Core: Major central-bank decisions β especially the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada β will be critical drivers of USD, bond yields, and cross-asset mood.
β’ Growth Signals Matter: China and Japan figures, including GDP and inflation measures, provide context to the broader global economic momentum narrative.
β’ Risk Sentiment Flow: With policy guidance and macro statistics clustered this week, positioning adjustments β including volatility in FX and yields β may reflect cross-regional spill-overs more than standalone prints.
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