๐ฃ Markets Watch: Inflation Data Takes Center Stage as Markets Refine February Direction (Feb 09โ15, 2026)
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What to Watch This Week: Key Events: This week markets remain on uneven footing as the fallout of the extended U.S. data blackout continues to blur the macro-view. With major inflation and employment prints delayed or compromised, investors are shifting attention to policy minutes, sentiment indicators, and global growth signals.
| Monday, Nov 17 ๐ฎ๐ฉ Indonesia Industrial Production ๐ฎ๐น Italy Inflation (HICP) ๐ฎ๐จ (Eurozone-wide) โ [no major headline] |
| Tuesday, Nov 18 ๐ช๐บ Euro-area Inflation (HICP) ๐บ๐ธ U.S. Import Price Index |
| Wednesday, Nov 19 ๐ฏ๐ต Japan GDP Preliminary ๐บ๐ธ Federal Reserve FOMC Minutes |
| Thursday, Nov 20 ๐บ๐ธ U.S. Housing Starts / Building Permits ๐จ๐ฆ Canada Retail Sales |
| Friday, Nov 21 ๐บ๐ธ U.S. Consumer Sentiment (Final) ๐ช๐บ Euro-area Consumer Confidence |
โข The recently-ended U.S. government shutdown has left data gaps and will continue to affect the timeliness and completeness of key economic releases.
โข With limited fresh inflation prints, sentiment metrics (e.g., consumer surveys) and policy minutes (e.g., Fed) may have outsized market impact this week.
โข Next Monday (Nov 24) overshadows this week: the Bank of Japan interest-rate decision is due. Market positioning this week may begin anticipating this outcome, especially in JPY crosses.
โข The integrity of upcoming U.S. hard data โ if further compromised โ may prompt a market re-assessment of the macro outlook, heightening volatility around sentiment prints.
โข Sentiment Over Prints: With headline data thin or delayed, markets may react more to survey-based and policy-minute disclosures than large print surprises.
โข Policy Watch: Attention turns to how central banks interpret the data fog, rather than just the raw numbers โ minutes and speeches gain prominence.
โข Global Growth Check: Growth signals from Japan, Canada, and the Euro-area may act as the next trigger for risk-asset direction in absence of major U.S. inflation releases.
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